Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Improving vocational education in China’s rural area

Introduction
Inequality is a complex socio-economic issue for policy makers in many countries. China’s rapid development with rising inequality provides a setting for many developing countries to learn. From the 1980s China’s income inequality is rising particularly between urban and rural (Shi, 2012). Urban and rural income inequality in China is high compare to other developing countries (ADB, 2007) and even though there is a recent slow-down on the inequality indicator it may have under-estimated the actual condition.  
Rapid growth has transformed the economy from agricultural to knowledge-based industrial economy which requires more skilled workers (Roberts, 2014). The rapid rise of Chinese skill premium in conjunction with an upward trend in relative demand means that the recent technological change has been skill-biased (i.e. Li & Baoping, 2008; Li, 2010).  To overcome the skill mismatch in the labor market, the government has established vocational education training (VET) institution particularly in industrial area close to urban settings. Furthermore, Chinese government has set regulations for VET’s national curricula and teacher’s qualification. However, more needs to be done to improve VET access particularly to solve the urban rural inequality problem. The paper would like to suggest that the Chinese government should increase fiscal spending to the rural areas for establishing upper secondary VET school.

Does inequality matter in China?
From the 1980s to the present, China’s remarkable growth has resulted to a structural change in the economy, transforming from an agricultural to knowledge-based industrial driven economy (Brandt & Rawski, 2008). This poses challenges on income distribution where growth is mainly concentrated in urban area. The ratio of urban household income per capita to rural one rose to 3 times higher in the last decade (Shi, 2012 p.1), which makes China as one of the highest urban-rural income gap country in the world (Sicular et al, 2007 p.4).
After an increasing trend of income inequality, the indicator is slowing down in recent years. However, the slow-down is unconvincing since the under-representativeness of people with extremely high income in the sample (Li and Luo, 2011) and the household income survey is based on registration instead of residency which pose a serious problem of rural migration omission (World Bank, 1997 p.19). Despite the survey’s measurement error, China’s income inequality is high compare to other developing countries creating several challenges to the economy.
China’s inequality can limit poor people opportunities, undermine their utility, and in the long term can be harmful for political stability. Knight & Li (1993) found that Chinese children in poor rural household has lower education compared to children from rich household, implying high intergenerational educational persistence, which may in economic drag. Poor household has lower utility indicated by urban residents’ life satisfaction is 60% higher than rural residents (He et al., 2007 pp.30-32). In addition to the drawback from the utilitarian framework, the income gap has cause symptoms of social distress which may threaten the power of ruling party and creating political instability in the future (Fortune, 2013).

The urgency in improving VET
As the economy transforms from agricultural to knowledge-based industrial driven, the country’s productivity increase. Under the production function, Solow explains that productivity is the residual of growth thereby indifferent in the changes of production factors, or factor neutral. However, there are evidences in several countries that labor, as one of the production factors, is segregated between skilled and unskilled workers, consequently as productivity increases skill premium also rises (i.e. Kiley, 1999; Violante, 2016). This implies that productivity is factor biased. As technology grows the demand for skilled labor rise faster. This is known as skill-biased technological progress which leads to income inequality (Goldin and Katz, 2008). The analysis is compatible with China case study, where manufacturing worker mainly located in the urban has higher income compare to agricultural workers located in rural area.
The industry is facing rising wage from urban labor (Li & Baoping, 2008). This creates opportunity for rural labor. However, the rural residents are mostly agriculture workers who have lack of education and skill to work in the manufacturing sector. Only a small portion of rural workforce attend school and vocational institution (SCMP, 2015). Moreover, a report from Chen, Mourshed, & Grant (2013) elaborates that manufacturing companies are failing to find high skilled employees (p.3). Furthermore, the report predicts that there will be shortage of 16 million vocationally-trained workers by 2020 (p.6), emphasizing the high demand for VET.
The government has formulated VET policy with limited focus on rural vocational education to reduce urban rural inequality. There is an existing VET policy for teacher’s qualification that teachers must undergo trainings and work in the industry and national VET curricula (Ministry of Education, 1996). However, vocational institution is mainly established in industrial area while technical training opportunities for rural workforce remains limited (Lai et al., 2011 p.2) and vocational institutions in rural area are under-resourced (OECD, 2010 p.1).
To reduce inequality, the government has approved an Income Distribution Plan by enhancing social safety net and adjust taxes for the rich. These are supported by an anti-corruption policy. From 2012 China has put anti-corruption as a serious agenda. They arrested more than 100,000 officials, which is a striking figure compare to previous years (Economist, 2015). In addition, from the list of income distribution plan, the Chinese government will increase education funding. However, the education policy formulation and implication is unclear. It does not specifically elaborate which types of education policy. If it is concerning basic compulsory education, then is not a sufficient solution for inequality. In particular, it does not solve China’s inequality problem which is caused by skill-biased technological change.

Recommendation
I recommend that the Chinese government should increase funding for the vocational education in rural area so that providing opportunity for rural worker to increase their skill and to work. VET will give benefit for rural people a higher return on education. This is particularly significant since poor rural students are giving larger relative investment for lower return compared to affluent urban students (Bingqi, 2011).  Furthermore, VET education should be provided in upper secondary school, instead in tertiary level as the government mainly focused, since rural worker can work as soon as they graduate from secondary school, furthermore providing the industry with younger thus cheaper labor. Accordingly, Chinese economy will also benefit since it increases the supply of skilled worker needed.
The VET school should use a benchmark from the success of Germany’s dual-system. The system creates institutional linkage between schools and workplace that after several years of schooling the student has the opportunity to take apprenticeship. This is in line with the government concern to increase trained-workers (Roberts, 2014). The system which combines vocational education in school and training in the workplace is feasible to be implemented in rural China for several reasons. Firstly, because the government is a central-planned government which can impose policy to regional level. Secondly, Chinese government is already familiar with the system since they already have collaboration with German government and companies such as German Technical Cooperation in various VET projects (Li, 2013 p.3).
However, in implementing the policy, the government may face challenges which are budget constraint and ensuring quality amongst local VET. Firstly, Chinese government may face fiscal budget constraint. To reduce fiscal burden, the government can divide the transfer to several phases. Regions are selected according to their income per capita for different phase of funding. This means that regions with lower income per capita should have the priority to receive funding. Another solution is the government should cooperate with countries who have business linkage and also interested in improving vocational education in China, such as Australia (Smith, 2006).
Secondly, the government will face challenges to ensure the quality of the rural VET. To ensure the rural VET meet the national standard, the government should closely monitor each local VET. Furthermore, as business engagement in the program is essentially important in meeting skill demand, the government should encourage business commitment to provide apprenticeship for teachers and students by imposing regulation, or collective action through industrial associations, or giving incentive through tax reduction, as some OECD countries have applied (Hoeckel, 2008 p.8-9). By involving in the local VET, the industry can ensure the prospectus worker’s technical qualification, reduce time and cost in training, and have early engagement with workers thus improving labor loyalty and reducing turn over.

Conclusion

Traditional theory suggests that in a growing market wealth will be distributed efficiently.  However, China’s growth has resulted in an increase in income inequality between rural and urban workers. Over the decades, China economy has transformed from agricultural economy to knowledge-based industrial driven requiring more skilled workers. The structural change has led to income inequality which suggest that China is experiencing skill-biased technological change as many countries also experienced. To meet the skill demand, the government has provided VET policy and institutions; however, the VET is mainly available in the industrial area agglomerated near urban settings. Accordingly, the government should increase the access of VET in the rural area.